I tracked every game for over 100 games. On the play ~40% of the time.
I tracked every game for over 100 games. On the play ~40% of the time. Games played 104. On the play 41. On the draw 63. It was pretty clear at around 50 games that I am on the draw right around 60% of the time. It stayed consistent around that number. This is not a statistical anomaly. Something is wrong with the algorithm determining play/draw order.
progressquest#91705
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Rezzahan#77802
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104 games, huh? That is still a very small sample size, and thus prone to outliers due to variance. You need several hundreds if not thousands of games to get a representative sample to draw such conclusions with high confidence. And even with only 104 games as the sample, you are only at +/-11 from the mean. Well within expected margin for such a small sample. I did that thing myself, but a sample size of 750 games. The outcome, pretty much 50:50. If you want o invoke the Law of Large Numbers, you have to go to large numbers. 104 is not that.